{"id":355,"date":"2011-12-23T10:48:00","date_gmt":"2011-12-23T10:48:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/?p=355"},"modified":"2011-12-23T10:48:00","modified_gmt":"2011-12-23T10:48:00","slug":"the-statistics-of-decline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/?p=355","title":{"rendered":"The statistics of decline"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I wanted to grab together a handful of statistics that give substance to the notion that the Church of England is declining, if not &#8216;doomed&#8217;. I accept the criticism that the the figures I linked to in my last post on this are flawed, but I believe the main point still stands. I&#8217;m not going to talk about what needs to be done in this context &#8211; that is what I&#8217;m exploring in my other posts.<\/p>\n<p> These are the figures <a href=\"http:\/\/davidkeen.blogspot.com\/2011\/11\/church-of-england-vital-statistics-time.html\">quoted by David Keen<\/a><br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/1.bp.blogspot.com\/--9TENWiKctw\/TtYgASvD_SI\/AAAAAAAAE3Q\/F4qYW9HNslU\/s1600\/cofe%2Bstats%2B1980-2010.png\" imageanchor=\"1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" height=\"300\" src=\"http:\/\/1.bp.blogspot.com\/--9TENWiKctw\/TtYgASvD_SI\/AAAAAAAAE3Q\/F4qYW9HNslU\/s400\/cofe%2Bstats%2B1980-2010.png\" width=\"400\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This data from the Church Society (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.churchsociety.org\/issues_new\/church\/stats\/iss_church_stats_attendance.asp\">source<\/a>) also seems useful:<\/p>\n<div><a href=\"http:\/\/4.bp.blogspot.com\/-ZVeEv36mjas\/TvRcTm1vKiI\/AAAAAAAAE3g\/I6yOiorkQw0\/s1600\/cofe-usa-1968-2009.jpg\" imageanchor=\"1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" height=\"227\" width=\"400\" src=\"http:\/\/4.bp.blogspot.com\/-ZVeEv36mjas\/TvRcTm1vKiI\/AAAAAAAAE3g\/I6yOiorkQw0\/s400\/cofe-usa-1968-2009.jpg\"><\/a><\/div>\n<p>And this one confirms it: <\/p>\n<div><a href=\"http:\/\/1.bp.blogspot.com\/-L_4Nc2k_QoM\/TvRfuKbikGI\/AAAAAAAAE3s\/Ifw-jT4J-Tk\/s1600\/ch_att_trend.png\" imageanchor=\"1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" height=\"284\" width=\"400\" src=\"http:\/\/1.bp.blogspot.com\/-L_4Nc2k_QoM\/TvRfuKbikGI\/AAAAAAAAE3s\/Ifw-jT4J-Tk\/s400\/ch_att_trend.png\"><\/a><\/div>\n<p>We can add to this the expected rapid decline in clergy numbers over the next ten years (as the baby boomers retire and aren&#8217;t replaced) and the way that this links in with the increasing age profile of attenders (and what this means in terms of a sudden drop for actuarial reasons). See also David Keen&#8217;s post on Diocesan growth <a href=\"http:\/\/davidkeen.blogspot.com\/2008\/05\/is-church-of-england-turning-corner.html\">here<\/a>.  <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;One of our problems may be that decline is so slow and imperceptible that we don\u2019t really see it coming clearly enough. I have seen large companies perfectly and impeccably manage themselves into failure. Every step along the road has been well done. Every account is neatly signed off&#8230; I sometimes feel the Church is a bit like that. I wish that all of us would have a sense of real crisis about this.&#8221; <\/p>\n<p>(<a href=\"http:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/religion\/8633540\/Ageing-Church-of-England-will-be-dead-in-20-years.html\">Andreas Whittam Smith<\/a>) <\/p>\n<p>The Lord being my helper I expect to be working for the church <del><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ODpJCenHFD8\">until my family dies<\/a><\/del> until 2040 or so. If things don&#8217;t change, I may outlast the good old CofE&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I wanted to grab together a handful of statistics that give substance to the notion that the Church of England is declining, if not &#8216;doomed&#8217;. I accept the criticism that the the figures I linked to in my last post &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/?p=355\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[31,12,29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-355","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ang-communion","category-church","category-crisis"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p3npsc-5J","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/355","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=355"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/355\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=355"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=355"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=355"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}