{"id":3763,"date":"2006-04-18T08:12:00","date_gmt":"2006-04-18T08:12:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/?p=3763"},"modified":"2006-04-18T08:12:00","modified_gmt":"2006-04-18T08:12:00","slug":"world-war-three-postponed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/?p=3763","title":{"rendered":"World War Three postponed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m very glad that <a href=\"http:\/\/elizaphanian.blogspot.com\/2005\/12\/world-war-three-by-easter.html\">World War Three<\/a> hasn&#8217;t yet arrived. I remain concerned about the overall situation relating to Iran though. There are no good options, and I don&#8217;t expect profound wisdom from the present Western leadership.<\/p>\n<p>I do expect armed conflict between Iran and the West (including Israel).<br \/>I am more hopeful than I was that China will stay out of it. The more I discover about their Peak Oil strategies, the more convinced I am that their leadership is comparatively sane and saintly.<br \/>I worry about a &#8216;false flag&#8217; incident being used to start the process going at a time convenient to the US.<br \/>I worry even more about nuclear weapons being used against the Iranian establishments (see the Seymour Hersh article in the New Yorker recently).<br \/>What I don&#8217;t worry about &#8211; in the sense that I see it as absolutely inevitable, and therefore just something that needs adjusting to &#8211; is the economic s#!t-storm that is going to descend when Iran retaliates, and takes out the oil supplies, however temporarily. (I don&#8217;t think it will be that temporary, but I&#8217;m sure I&#8217;m in a minority on that.)<br \/>I see this as the &#8216;turning point&#8217; predicted in <a href=\"http:\/\/elizaphanian.blogspot.com\/2005\/11\/tax-fourth-turning-and-uncoupling.html\">Strauss and Howe&#8217;s book<\/a>, ushering in the twenty year &#8216;winter&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>My advice? Stock up on your food supplies; get at least two weeks basic provisions in your house and don&#8217;t let them fall further. <\/p>\n<p>Sorry to be so gloomy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m very glad that World War Three hasn&#8217;t yet arrived. I remain concerned about the overall situation relating to Iran though. There are no good options, and I don&#8217;t expect profound wisdom from the present Western leadership. I do expect &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/?p=3763\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[29,67],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3763","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-crisis","category-foreign-relations"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p3npsc-YH","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3763","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3763"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3763\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3763"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3763"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/elizaphanian.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3763"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}