Some gratuitous political stuff


A nice, gentle, prejudice-free video:

So really it was all Bill Clinton’s fault!

Victor Davis Hanson on what is wisdom. (Which I read a while back, and was partly behind my latest Palin post, but so too was my several years experience advising politicians.)


“Palin herself had worked only in politics since leaving her sportscasting job some 16 years earlier, and by picking up a crusade against the state’s most powerful political figures, she stood an extremely good chance of burying her promising political future for good. But she was willing to walk away from all of that at age 40 to do the right thing. If you can picture Barack Obama doing that, you have a very vivid imagination.”

There’s still a bit of me that wonders about the fourth turning, and whether McCain might be the grey champion (might end up being Al Gore of course, or someone else completely – Jimmy Carter?).

If I was really a conspiracy nut…

In other words, someone who didn’t just believe that we’d been lied to about 9/11, but that it was all a Dick Cheney plot, then I’d be very alarmed by this (H/T OSO) because it would be a signal that the election will be stolen by the Republicans with a view to installing Palin as an Evita-type character.

But of course, Cheney wasn’t responsible for 9/11, so it is all nonsense.

A bit more about Palin

Byron asked me if my views on Palin had evolved in the last couple of weeks. Short answer is ‘not a lot’, although what I’ve read about the Couric interview (which isn’t a lot, and I didn’t watch it) has led to some self-questioning.

Various thoughts:
– it seems, as with the Charlie Gibson interview, to have been a hatchet job. However, that goes with the territory and should be expected;
– she seems to have been stitched up by the campaign, in the sense that she has lost confidence, and she gives the media too much importance;
– relying on folksy comments in a set-piece media interview is an error of judgement;
– if Palin had come out with a comment like Biden’s on Roosevelt then she would have been crucified – but this isn’t to defend Palin, it’s simply to point out that Biden is a moron bit of a buffoon;
– the job of a politician is not to know the facts but to exercise judgement upon facts, and then to make decisions. Obviously there are limits to this – a certain amount of general knowledge about the world is essential, along with a basic analytical capacity, which Palin undoubtedly possesses – but politicians in an advanced democracy are functionally dependent upon civil servants to provide information, and those civil servants will – with extremely rare exceptions – know much more about the subject than the politician;
– the exercise of political judgement is the essential quality that needs to be assessed at the time of an election, and the raw material for that judgement is not the words that the politicians speak but the choices that the politicians have made in their previous positions of responsibility;
– which begs the question about the politicians having actually been in positions of responsibility. I maintain the view that Palin beats Obama hands down in this respect – that is, she actually has a record that is worth investigating, with real decisions made (for better or for worse). What has Obama ever done? When has he ever gone out on a limb for something that he believed in?
– a large part of assessing the candidates is about ‘smell’, by which I mean a non-rational, ‘blink’ type assessment about how far any candidate shares values with the person making the assessment; this, in turn, is essentially answering the question ‘will this candidate advance my values in office?’ – so on that count, I am undoubtedly still a Palin fan;
– barring an ‘October surprise’ I’m now, contrary to my earlier post, expecting an Obama win, which I’m seeing as a poisoned chalice.

I have great feelings of nervousness with respect to the forthcoming debate. I hope she has a storming, break-out performance; I worry that the opposite will happen.

TBTM20080920


Time for some campaignin’
(H/T Phil’s Treehouse)

I took over 80 photos this morning, some of which I was really pleased with, but I chose this one because, even though it’s not photographically ideal, it gives you a good idea of what I saw on leaving my front gate today! I generally now take more photos than I post on the blog – they get posted on my flickr account (link to the right), normally in a bundle about once a month. But I’ll post some more from this morning now.

Some political confessions

I thought I’d throw up some bullet points on my political perspectives, because, although I would describe myself as a conservative, there are various ways in which that might be misleading, particularly in the US context.

  • I was (with caveats) in favour of the invasion of Iraq, and on balance I still think it was the right decision
  • I think the Bush administration has been culpably incompetent (and radically anti-conservative) and Bush and Cheney should be impeached
  • I think the Bush administration has been actively evil in its support for torture and that Bush should be excommunicated from the church
  • I firmly believe that the truth about 9/11 has not been told, though I am not persuaded that Bush was personally involved in that (I have only come to negative conclusions about this subject, not positive ones)
  • I do believe that radical Islam poses an existential threat to Western Civilisation. I see the standard left-wing consensus – such as it is – as manifestly inadequate for defending western civilisation, and this is one of my main objections to Obama (for an example, see the treatment of Ayaan Hirsi Ali)
  • By the way, in case it isn’t obvious, I believe very strongly in free speech
  • I believe that the Bush administration, whether by active design or inadvertence, has laid the foundations for a new feudalism in the United States
  • I think there is a non-trivial possibility of a far-right Christian fascist autocracy forming in the United States within the next ten years, and a similarly non-trivial possibility of Civil War. My main reason for thinking that those things won’t happen is that the suffering will hit the cities more than the countryside, but I could easily be wrong
  • I find Obama’s vote on abortion abhorrent, unconscionable and unfathomable
  • I am in favour of stem cell research
  • I find McCain’s position on Georgia (shared by Obama) unrealistic and seriously frightening. I would certainly not invite Georgia to be a member of NATO (an institution that is now past its use-by-date)
  • I think the United Nations is, by and large, a waste of space
  • I am strongly in favour of full secular equality for homosexual couples (and I’m phrasing it that way because ‘marriage’ raises theological questions that are a red herring here)
  • I don’t expect any politicians to be saints; it’s just a question of the degree of corruption. I find it remarkable how little investigation there has been of Obama’s background, competence and voting record which seem to me to be much worse than Palin’s
  • I don’t think either candidate has a clue about the nature of the storm engulfing the US economy, nor do I think there is much that either candidate can do about it. I still think the fourth turning is a very good guide to what we are seeing
  • For all his faults – and his faults aren’t lonely for long – I see McCain as more able to exercise an independent perspective than Obama. I’m not convinced that there is anything there with Obama, that is, anything which marks him out as something other than a product of his context
  • I think that George Romero is a prophet, particularly of the US